Published: November 25, 2018
Local factors were important, but the impact of dumping Malcolm Turnbull can’t be discounted in the crushing result for the Coalition
Some quick, but important, caveats up front. The first is the strong swing to Labor in Victoria will likely come back as the impact of pre-poll and postal votes register in the count; and the swings, statewide, are variable. The second is local factors are the most important driver of the result on Saturday night. Scott Morrison wasn’t on the ballot, and neither was Bill Shorten, and both gave the contest a wide berth.
But with that noted, federal factors are part of this story.
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