Published: May 20, 2019
Polls will continue to be central to the narrative of any election. But there needs to be a better way to reflect uncertainties
Everyone in my office grew sick last week of my continual complaints about the state of the political polls. Not because of any insights into the results they were predicting, but because they were all saying the same thing with a collective similarity that violates the fundamentals of mathematics.
Since the election was called, there were 16 polls that published two-party preferred results ahead of Saturday’s vote. Every single one of them predicted the LNP winning 48% or 49% of the two-party preferred vote, with Labor winning 51% or 52%.
Continue reading...from The Guardian http://bit.ly/30sjkKI
via
0 Comments